One thing is clear for the Denver Broncos in 2017: They simply cannot win games with the offense playing at the same level as they did last year. For Denver to become more relevant in Super Bowl talks they need better quarterback play. It's why one question has been asked more than any other this offseason: Trevor Siemian or Paxton Lynch? Both are young, mostly unproven quarterbacks who seem to be neck and neck in the QB competition as the Broncos' offseason programs come to a close. Let's break down the Broncos quarterback competition, and why Paxton Lynch needs to be the starter for the Broncos to succeed.
After starting in 2016, Trevor Siemian won over many fans playing at a level that exceeded expectations, but at one that still wasn't enough to bring the Broncos to the playoffs. Overall, Siemian was one of the most mediocre quarterbacks in the league. In 2016, he completed the 23rd most passes in the NFL and his overall completion percentage of 59.5% was 25th overall. His 3,401 yards put him at 24th in the league, and his 18 touchdowns had him ranked at 22nd. Trevor had a passer rating (which is measured on a scale of 0-158.3) of 84.6, which was the 23rd best in the league. Across the board, Siemians numbers were average to poor. And while it's easy to point to poor offensive line play and the fact that this was Siemian's first year starting to back his lackluster performance, you also need to remember that we are talking about a 7th round pick who didn't even have a very impressive college career. At Northwestern Siemian threw for just 27 touchdowns and 24 interceptions. Basically, you're looking at a quarterback who has never shown high potential and one that was only barely drafted in the NFL. His ceiling can't be much higher than his floor, which is basically what we saw in 2016. Obviously with the Broncos stellar defense they don't necessarily need an elite quarterback, but they also need one that is more capable than of what Siemian showed last year. Enter Paxton Lynch.
In the 2016 draft, John Elway and company traded up in the first round just to grab Lynch. They saw a potential franchise quarterback that was raw, but could be shaped into a star. Nfl.com's scouting report said that, "Lynch shows the ability to read defenses and make smart decisions, but not yet at the NFL starting level... a team who is willing to allow him to sit and study his craft for a year could reap maximum rewards in the future." This was clear to every NFL scout and everyone said the same thing about Lynch. It seems, however, that some Bronco fans have completely forgotten. Lynch generally dissapointed when he played in 2016, but this was to be expected. He simply was not ready to start a game in the league, and that shouldn't have come as a surprise to anybody. But, it did. The bottom line is, people have already given up on Paxton Lynch, and it's with no real reason. Paxton Lynch's ceiling is clearly higher than Trevor Siemians, and it's time for Paxton to show that. It's this one simple difference that makes Paxton Lynch, and not Trevor Siemian a better QB option for the Denver Broncos going forward. Pete Baron of Milehighreport.com puts it perfectly by saying that, "Siemian is a Honda Civic. Sure, he's OK... but there ain't no Civic winning a race. Paxton Lynch is the race car. Sure he'll need some pit stops, maybe some duct tape... but the race car is built for a singular purpose: To win!" If Paxton Lynch and Trevor Siemian are as close as reports are saying in the competition, you have to take the one with the higher potential, and that is Paxton Lynch by a mile. He might not be as consistent as Siemian was last year, but Siemian was consistently not anything to write home about. It may be a bumpy ride, but it's time for the Broncos to start a new era with Paxton Lynch at the center of it all.
After starting in 2016, Trevor Siemian won over many fans playing at a level that exceeded expectations, but at one that still wasn't enough to bring the Broncos to the playoffs. Overall, Siemian was one of the most mediocre quarterbacks in the league. In 2016, he completed the 23rd most passes in the NFL and his overall completion percentage of 59.5% was 25th overall. His 3,401 yards put him at 24th in the league, and his 18 touchdowns had him ranked at 22nd. Trevor had a passer rating (which is measured on a scale of 0-158.3) of 84.6, which was the 23rd best in the league. Across the board, Siemians numbers were average to poor. And while it's easy to point to poor offensive line play and the fact that this was Siemian's first year starting to back his lackluster performance, you also need to remember that we are talking about a 7th round pick who didn't even have a very impressive college career. At Northwestern Siemian threw for just 27 touchdowns and 24 interceptions. Basically, you're looking at a quarterback who has never shown high potential and one that was only barely drafted in the NFL. His ceiling can't be much higher than his floor, which is basically what we saw in 2016. Obviously with the Broncos stellar defense they don't necessarily need an elite quarterback, but they also need one that is more capable than of what Siemian showed last year. Enter Paxton Lynch.
In the 2016 draft, John Elway and company traded up in the first round just to grab Lynch. They saw a potential franchise quarterback that was raw, but could be shaped into a star. Nfl.com's scouting report said that, "Lynch shows the ability to read defenses and make smart decisions, but not yet at the NFL starting level... a team who is willing to allow him to sit and study his craft for a year could reap maximum rewards in the future." This was clear to every NFL scout and everyone said the same thing about Lynch. It seems, however, that some Bronco fans have completely forgotten. Lynch generally dissapointed when he played in 2016, but this was to be expected. He simply was not ready to start a game in the league, and that shouldn't have come as a surprise to anybody. But, it did. The bottom line is, people have already given up on Paxton Lynch, and it's with no real reason. Paxton Lynch's ceiling is clearly higher than Trevor Siemians, and it's time for Paxton to show that. It's this one simple difference that makes Paxton Lynch, and not Trevor Siemian a better QB option for the Denver Broncos going forward. Pete Baron of Milehighreport.com puts it perfectly by saying that, "Siemian is a Honda Civic. Sure, he's OK... but there ain't no Civic winning a race. Paxton Lynch is the race car. Sure he'll need some pit stops, maybe some duct tape... but the race car is built for a singular purpose: To win!" If Paxton Lynch and Trevor Siemian are as close as reports are saying in the competition, you have to take the one with the higher potential, and that is Paxton Lynch by a mile. He might not be as consistent as Siemian was last year, but Siemian was consistently not anything to write home about. It may be a bumpy ride, but it's time for the Broncos to start a new era with Paxton Lynch at the center of it all.